Trade Breakdown: Malcolm Brogdon to Celtics
this is the eighth entry our series Breaking down the key trades of the 2022 offseason. As opposed to giving a grade, this series will seek Why? Teams were motivated to make moves. Let’s Dive Into the One Deal That Sent the 2017 Rookie of the Year fast bowlers To Celtics,
The day after the start of free agency, the Pacers agreed to send Malcolm Brogdon in exchange for the celtics Daniel Theis, Aaron Nesmith, nick stauscaso, John Morgan, Malik Fits and the Celtics’ 2023 first-round pick (top-12 protected). Stauskas, Morgan, and Fitts are later pardoned by Indiana, so they are no longer on the team’s roster.
Why would a pacer be willing to drop a player who averaged 21.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG and 5.9 APG shooting .453/.388/.864 just two seasons ago?
After sending all-stars twice domantas sabonis For package titled by point guard for Sacramento in February tyres halliburtonThe Pacers effectively indicated that a reassessment process was underway and that Brogdon’s time at Indiana was about to end.
The problem was that Brogdon was injured for most of 2021/22 and was ineligible to trade after signing a veteran. Expansion Just before the season started, so the Pacers had to wait till the end of the season to deal with him.
Injury problems have plagued Brogdon during his six-year career. He has missed 140 regular season games in that period, averaging over 70% of his team’s games.
Last season, he missed a career-high 46 games, although it is possible that he was deliberately excluded from some of those competitions for tanking purposes and to maintain his long-term health.
Brogdon will earn $67.6MM over the next three seasons, including $22.6MM in ’22/23′. To match their salaries and make the trade legal, the Celtics had to include five players in their package – the most precious of those players, Theis, will be earning $8.69MM next season, while Nesmith will earn $3.8MM . Only Thies has guaranteed money after the next season, earning $9.1MM in ’23/24′.
Brogdon’s pay cut, sorry Duane WashingtonUsing a stretch provision to stretch a non-guaranteed deal, and partial guarantees for Stauskas, Morgan and Fitts over three seasons, the Pacers created enough cap room to sign the banned free agent deandre ayton For four years, the maximum-salary offer sheet. The Sons ended up matching the offer, so Indiana still has about $31MM in cap room available as the ’22/23 season approaches.
After serving as a high-level role player for the Bucks from 2016–19, Brogdon took on an expanded role, playing solid defense at 12.8ppg, 3.5rpg and .484/.408/.895 shooting at 3.6ppg Will was signed-and-traded for first-round selections in Indiana and two second-round players.
Brogdon had a tumultuous stint with the Pacers. His average over the past three seasons was definitely better on paper as 18.9 PPG, 5.1 RPG and 6.3 APG. However, he took a step back on the defense, and his scoring proficiency took a toll – his .447/.352/.872 shooting line was still solid, but nothing special.
At 29, Brogdon no longer fits with Indiana’s rebuilding timeline. While recovering he served as the team’s lead ball-handler, but with Halliburton on board, he became redundant.
I doubt the Theis will play much for Indiana after a bad season in the first year of his new contract, especially considering that he himself is 30 years old. He may be a seasoned presence for a youth team, but most of the frontcourt minutes will be gone. Jalen Smithwho re-signed with the Pacers in free agency, second year big man isaiah jacksonand veterans center Miles Turner – assuming he’s still on the roster.
After being selected at number 14 overall in the 2020 draft, Nesmith never found a foothold in Boston’s rotation during his first two NBA seasons, averaging only 12.7 MPG in 98 games in total. I’m sure it was partly due to his performance – he averaged 4.2ppg and 2.2rpg while shooting 417/.318/.796 – but he was also stuck behind two of the best wings in the league jason tatum And Jaylen BrownSo the minutes were hard to come by.
fast bowler Allegedly Look to Nesmith as a potential “3-and-D” player, and at 22, he fits in with Indiana’s youth movement. There’s some untapped upside here—that was the lottery’s last pick two years ago—but whether it succeeds will depend on Nesmith.
Still, the primary appeal of this trade for Indiana was removing Brogdon’s long-term salary and adding Boston’s 2023 first-round pick, who would likely be in his late 20s. The Pacers control the Cavaliers’ lottery-protected pick next season as well, so they could have three first-round picks in the 2023 draft.
In securing Brogdon, Boston left nothing of significant value from last season’s team, which made it to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2010, eventually losing to the Warriors in six games. Theis was the only player of five outgoing pieces to have played semi-regular postseason minutes, but his performance was terrible – the team was better off the court with him 14 points per 100 possessions.
Leaving the future first-rounder in his late 20s is a classic win-now move for a Celtics team that hopes to win two more playoff games in ’22/23 to win 18.th title, potentially breaking a tie with the Lakers for the most championships in NBA history.
Brogdon’s $22.6MM salary as a result of adding and signing danilo gallinari With the exception of the taxpayer middle tier, the Celtics will be well on the luxury tax line next season, another sign that Boston is invested in winning the championship.
Brogdon is a talented and skilled player. At 6’5″ and 229 pounds, he’s more of a combo guard than a point guard, which has its pros and cons.
The reason he’s sometimes an odd fit with the pacers is that he primarily serves as the team’s point guard, but he’s not fast enough to stay in front of smaller, shiftier players. However, he is able to wield large feathers, as he uses his strength and toughness to stay grounded.
Brogdon uses that power on the offense to his advantage, intimidating smaller players to drive them into the basket. He’s not the fastest or most athletic player, but he can get in his place for the most part and does a solid job of drawing up contracts.
During Brogdon’s tenure, the Pacers also had Victor Oladipo And caris levert In Shooting Guard, two other scores—first players who aren’t great shooters. This sometimes leads to some ugly “now it’s my turn” offensive property instead of proper ball speed.
If Brogdon tries to play for the Pacers, Celtics fans probably won’t be happy with the results, but if he accepts his role as a sixth man And as a tertiary play producer acts more like he did with Milwaukee, he could be a perfect fit aggressively.
During his run with the Bucks, Brogdon attempted 22.9% of his threes from the corners and changed 48.9% of the looks—an elite number. With Indiana, only 11.3% of his three-point attempts came from corners and he converted 37.1% of them. Again, this was partly a result of Indiana’s poor spacing and Brogdon’s acting as a primary ball-handler.
Brodgun’s shot is slow and mechanical, with a low release point. It takes time to get away from it. But if he plays within the flow of Boston’s offense he will get plenty of openness from the corners.
While Brogdon is a major offensive upgrade on both Marcus Smart And derrick white, that’s a significant downgrade defensively. He’s not a liability, but he’s not a positive either, especially when defending smaller players. Al Horford And Robert Williams Will help to allay some of those worries.
I look forward to seeing how Brogdon and White play together, as they are both smart passersby when they are so inclined. Both need space to feel comfortable taking a jump shot.
It’s hard not to see this trade as a victory for the Celtics, even as the Pacers have met their goal of slashing Brogdon’s salary, adding another first-rounder and creating more play time for their young core. .
Brogdon is a very productive player. That could be the missing piece that pushes the Celtics to the top if they are able to reach the final again.
The only real question at Boston’s end is, can he stay healthy? If so, the team acquired a player who is an offensive upgrade over any of its existing guards without taking anything away from their core.